Near-term pessimism driving markets, but…
January 14, 2019

Markets have discounted a great deal of future slowdown driven by the many political and economic factors weighing on stocks over the past month, according to the Investment Insights issued today by BNY Mellon's Lockwood Advisors, Inc.

Since the fourth quarter, investors have not put much stock in economic forecasts, fundamentals and valuations, according to the report. Instead, they have largely been preoccupied with future developments, as technical and pessimistic sentiment has driven markets. 

"Markets were rattled by politics in the fourth quarter, with concerns over global growth, central bank tightening, trade disputes, uncertainty around Brexit, and plummeting oil prices among the factors that weighed on investor sentiment," said Matthew Forester, Chief Investment Officer at Lockwood Advisors and the author of the report. 

"But the US economy's changing trajectory is not that different than that of turning a battleship," he adds. "The economy may be decelerating a bit, but it's still progressing at a solid clip and is generating positive momentum early in 2019. If markets can limit the damage to near current levels, they could potentially surf the wave of worry higher this year."





This site, like many others, uses small files called cookies to customize your experience. Cookies appear to be blocked on this browser. Please consider allowing cookies so that you can enjoy more content across globalcustody.net.

How do I enable cookies in my browser?

Internet Explorer
1. Click the Tools button (or press ALT and T on the keyboard), and then click Internet Options.
2. Click the Privacy tab
3. Move the slider away from 'Block all cookies' to a setting you're comfortable with.

Firefox
1. At the top of the Firefox window, click on the Tools menu and select Options...
2. Select the Privacy panel.
3. Set Firefox will: to Use custom settings for history.
4. Make sure Accept cookies from sites is selected.

Safari Browser
1. Click Safari icon in Menu Bar
2. Click Preferences (gear icon)
3. Click Security icon
4. Accept cookies: select Radio button "only from sites I visit"

Chrome
1. Click the menu icon to the right of the address bar (looks like 3 lines)
2. Click Settings
3. Click the "Show advanced settings" tab at the bottom
4. Click the "Content settings..." button in the Privacy section
5. At the top under Cookies make sure it is set to "Allow local data to be set (recommended)"

Opera
1. Click the red O button in the upper left hand corner
2. Select Settings -> Preferences
3. Select the Advanced Tab
4. Select Cookies in the list on the left side
5. Set it to "Accept cookies" or "Accept cookies only from the sites I visit"
6. Click OK

Markets have discounted a great deal of future slowdown driven by the many political and economic factors weighing on stocks over the past month, according to the Investment Insights issued today by BNY Mellon's Lockwood Advisors, Inc.

Since the fourth quarter, investors have not put much stock in economic forecasts, fundamentals and valuations, according to the report. Instead, they have largely been preoccupied with future developments, as technical and pessimistic sentiment has driven markets. 

"Markets were rattled by politics in the fourth quarter, with concerns over global growth, central bank tightening, trade disputes, uncertainty around Brexit, and plummeting oil prices among the factors that weighed on investor sentiment," said Matthew Forester, Chief Investment Officer at Lockwood Advisors and the author of the report. 

"But the US economy's changing trajectory is not that different than that of turning a battleship," he adds. "The economy may be decelerating a bit, but it's still progressing at a solid clip and is generating positive momentum early in 2019. If markets can limit the damage to near current levels, they could potentially surf the wave of worry higher this year."



Free subscription - selected news and optional newsletter
Premium subscription
  • All latest news
  • Latest special reports
  • Your choice of newsletter timing and topics
Full-access magazine subscription
  • 7-year archive of news
  • All past special reports
  • Newsletter with your choice of timing and topics
  • Access to more content across the site

More on:  Market commentary